Investment Case
Our process starts with identifying the global investment universe of companies engaged in asset management services. Most of these companies are chiefly involved in asset management; however, we also look at associated services such as custody banks and stock exchanges. We analyse the universe regularly for companies which look attractive on valuation, return on investment, earnings sentiment and price momentum. Put simply, we are looking for good companies that are attractively valued where investor sentiment is improving and investor buying is occurring. For the asset managers, we add an important fifth criterion: superior underlying asset management performance. This process is designed to give us a portfolio of reasonable value, good quality, successful asset management companies with the potential to provide a shareholder return in excess of the broad equity market.
Stock ideas are taken from our screens and subjected to due diligence, centred around detailed financial modelling, to establish whether we have conviction to include the stock in our portfolio. The portfolio comprises 30 broadly equally weighted positions without reference to a benchmark.
In brief: why invest in a fund of asset managers?
High returns on capital
Successful asset management companies can grow using relatively little capital. Overall shareholder returns can therefore be very high.
Growing global sector.
Global conventional assets under management are growing faster than world equity returns, supporting growing revenues in the sector
Low balance sheet risk
Money management companies tend to have very low gearing versus other financial sectors (especially banks), reducing balance sheet risk.
Above average dividend yield
The sector typically exhibits high free cashflow, which translates into higher dividend yields on average than the broad equity market.
Higher beta
The sector has the potential to outperform the market (capture higher beta) during periods of market strength, particularly in equities.
Investment case for a portfolio of asset managers
Asset managers have a number of characteristics which make them particularly interesting from a shareholders point of view.
High returns on capital
A key attraction of the money management industry is that successful companies can enjoy both very high rates of return on capital (not much is required) and a growth rate higher than the underlying investment returns as additional assets are raised. Overall shareholder returns can therefore be very high.
Growing global sector
The value of assets under management globally has grown faster than the performance of equity markets. Since 1990, new investable companies and increasing personal wealth have helped grow conventional assets under management by 700%, versus world equity returns of 150%. We expect this trend to continue. An expanding pool of assets provides an attractive environment for good asset managers to grow.
Financials exposure with lower balance sheet risk
For investors who are concerned about the fragility of bank balance sheets globally, we believe this Fund gives exposure to the attractive growth and return attributes of the financial sector whilst lessening the balance sheet risk. The average gearing of the underlying companies held in the Fund has been consistently less than zero (i.e. overall net cash).
Above average dividends
Asset management companies often deliver high free cash flow, which translates into higher dividend yields on average than the broad equity market. The gross dividend yield paid by the companies in our universe of asset managers has been consistently higher than the MSCI World Index gross yield. (You should note that Guinness Global Money Managers Fund is managed for total returns, and has not paid out dividends to investors in the past. There is currently no intention to do so in the future.)
Higher beta
In periods of rising equity markets, asset management companies focusing on managing equities can enjoy a rising income without adding any new customers. They effectively provide a geared exposure to rising equity markets. So the Fund is a means for investors to capture higher beta during periods of market strength, particularly in equities.
Potential for rapid growth
A final interesting characteristic is that a successful asset management company can grow its business very rapidly if markets are rising and the underlying performance of its fund range is strong. To date we have had our best successes in the Fund by identifying and investing in this type of company.
Favourable environment for investing in asset management companies
If you believe that global equity markets are set on a path of reasonable long-term growth, albeit at likely lower returns than of old, and in an environment of rising global invested assets, a diversified portfolio of listed asset managers can play a useful role in your portfolio.
Investment process
We seek quality asset management companies at the right price.
Identifying high quality asset managers
Our process starts with identifying the global investment universe of companies engaged in asset management services. The majority of the universe comprises companies where asset management is the main activity; however, we also look at associated services such as custody banks and stock exchanges. We analyse the universe regularly for companies which look attractive on valuation, return on investment, earnings sentiment and price momentum. In plain English – good companies that are attractively valued where investor sentiment is improving and investor buying is occurring. For the asset managers, we add an important fifth criteria: superior underlying asset management performance. This process is designed to give us a portfolio of reasonable value, good quality, successful asset management companies which we hope will provide a shareholder return in excess of the broad equity market.
Stock due diligence
Stock ideas are taken from our screens. We then conduct due diligence to establish whether we have conviction to include the stock in our portfolio. The due diligence centres around detailed financial modelling.
Portfolio construction
Equal-weight approach
The portfolio comprises 30 broadly equally weighted positions. Our equal-weight portfolio construction approach is designed to create the best balance between maintaining fund concentration and managing stock-specific risk. It also imposes a structural sell discipline: an existing position must be sold to purchase a new holding.
Sector weights
There is no benchmark adherence in the Fund’s sub-sector weights.
Portfolio risk controls
Stock specific risk
By constructing the fund of 30 broadly equally weighted positions, we avoid significant exposure to any one individual stock.
Emerging market exposure
Emerging market exposure is normally limited to 20% of the portfolio.
Liquidity
The portfolio is liquid, with 80% of the Fund normally invested in companies with a market capitalisation over US $500 million.
Currency
The Fund is not hedged from a currency perspective.